TL;DR Summary
Indian shoppers spent an estimated ₹6.05 lakh crore (about $64 billion) during Diwali 2025, according to CAIT, while Redseer's forecast and Datum Intelligence's estimate put online festive sales at roughly ₹1.15 lakh crore to ₹1.20 lakh crore. For 2026, Redseer projects festive ecommerce GMV to grow about 25% to $15 billion to $16 billion.
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₹6.05 lakh crore: CAIT's survey-based estimate of total Diwali 2025 trade, offline and online, across goods and services
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$15 billion to $16 billion: Redseer's projection for 2026 festive ecommerce GMV
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60% to 65%: share of shoppers in the first 11 days of the 2025 festive sale who came from Tier 2+ cities (Redseer)
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13.59 million: packages Delhivery delivered within 24 hours in October 2025, out of 107.4 million e-commerce and freight shipments it processed that month (NSE filing)
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58% vs under 15%: COD versus prepaid orders that came back in the 2025 festive quarter on Unicommerce's platforms; the public summary does not separate RTO from customer returns
India's online shoppers bought ₹60,000 crore to ₹62,000 crore worth of goods in the first 11 days of the 2025 festive sale, according to Redseer, nearly 3.5 times a normal trading stretch. That burst sits inside a much larger festive economy that CAIT puts at ₹6.05 lakh crore. This guide to festive season sales statistics for India covers how much the country spends, how much moves online, how fast orders arrive, how COD and RTO affect margins, and which cities and channels drive demand.
Diwali 2026 falls on November 8, 19 days later than last year and less than three weeks before Black Friday on November 27. Full-season 2026 figures are therefore still projections, and each statistic below names its source, period, and what it measures. Some delivery, city-tier, and payment data comes from shipments brands send through our platform. We have flagged it where it appears, because it reflects those brands rather than the whole market.
ClickPost Report: The Great Indian Festive Report 2026 - find now
Units: one lakh crore rupees is one trillion rupees. Dollar equivalents are approximate and use ₹94.93 per US dollar, the October 30, 2026 closing rate reported by PTI, unless a source published its own dollar figure.
How much does India spend during the festive season?
CAIT estimates that Diwali 2025 trade reached ₹6.05 lakh crore (about $64 billion), comprising ₹5.40 lakh crore in goods and ₹65,000 crore in services. The figure comes from CAIT's Research Report on Diwali Festival Sales 2025, based on a survey across 60 distribution centers. It covers offline and online trade, so it is not an e-commerce figure.
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CAIT's release does not state the exact date window. Coverage of the Finance Minister's remarks on the estimate, along with other press reports, describes it as the Navratri to Diwali period.
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CAIT puts 2024 Diwali trade at ₹4.25 lakh crore and describes 2025 as a 25% rise. The two published totals do not support that rate: ₹6.05 lakh crore is about 42% above ₹4.25 lakh crore. Because CAIT has not reconciled the figures, we do not cite a growth rate for this estimate.
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According to CAIT, mainline retail, particularly non-corporate and traditional markets, contributed 85% of total trade, and rural and semi-urban India accounted for 28%.
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CAIT estimates that Diwali 2025 trade created 50 lakh (5 million) temporary jobs in logistics, packaging, transport, and retail services. This is CAIT's estimate, not an employment survey.
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In CAIT's category split, grocery and FMCG made up 12% of trade, gold and jewelry 10%, and electronics and electricals 8%.
Two other datasets show the same season from different angles:
| Indicator | Figure | Period | Source |
| Vehicle retail (registrations) | 52.38 lakh units, up 21.1% from 43.26 lakh | 42 days, September 22 to November 2, 2025 (2024 window: October 3 to November 13) | FADA |
| UPI transactions (all UPI payments, not festive-only) | 20.7 billion transactions worth ₹27.28 lakh crore; value up 16% from ₹23.49 lakh crore | October 2025 | NPCI data via Business Standard |
Why the festive figures do not add up neatly
| Source | What it measures | Window | 2025 figure | Status |
| CAIT | Total trade, offline and online, goods and services (survey-based) | Diwali festival sales; reported as Navratri to Diwali | ₹6.05 lakh crore | Estimate |
| Redseer | Online retail GMV, including canceled and returned orders | 30 to 35 days before Diwali | ₹1.15 lakh crore+ (20% to 25% growth expected) | Pre-season forecast |
| Redseer | Online retail GMV | Full 2025 festive window | 16% growth | Reported by Redseer in its 2026 outlook |
| Redseer | Online retail GMV | First 11 days of sales | ₹60,000 to ₹62,000 crore | Tracked estimate |
| Datum Intelligence | Online festive sales | Festive season | About ₹1.20 lakh crore | Datum's stated 2025 base |
| Unicommerce | Orders and GMV processed on its Uniware platform | 25 days | Orders +24%, GMV +23% | Platform data |
It is tempting to divide an online figure by CAIT's total and call the result ecommerce's share of festive spending. The ratio would come out at roughly a fifth, but it mixes a survey-based trade estimate with a GMV model that counts canceled and returned orders, over windows that do not match. It is useful as a rough sense of scale and should not be quoted as a market share.
How big are festive season ecommerce sales in India?
Redseer's pre-season forecast put 2025 festive ecommerce GMV above ₹1.15 lakh crore (about $12 billion), growing 20% to 25%. Its tracker then measured ₹60,000 crore to ₹62,000 crore in the first 11 days, nearly 3.5 times business-as-usual levels, from about 90 million shoppers (Redseer). Redseer later put full-season 2025 festive growth at 16% (IANS).
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Smartphones and appliances accounted for 60% to 65% of first-leg 2025 GMV, according to Redseer, while fashion grew only in low single digits during those 11 days. Over the full festive window, Redseer later reported 17% growth in fashion.
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Datum Intelligence uses about ₹1.20 lakh crore as its 2025 base for festive online sales (Business Standard). Its window and definitions differ from Redseer's, so the two should not be treated as one series.
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Neither Amazon nor Flipkart discloses festive GMV, so there is no verified head-to-head ranking of the two sales by value.
Marketplace disclosures describe activity, not sales value, and each company uses its own definitions:
| Platform and sale | Period | Reported metric | What it counts | Source |
| Amazon Great Indian Festival | 2025 full event | 276 crore (2.76 billion) customer visits, 70% from Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities | Visits, not unique shoppers | Amazon India |
| Amazon Great Indian Festival | 2025 full event | 1.4 crore same-day (+60%) and 2.8 crore next-day (+22%) Prime deliveries | Products delivered to Prime members | Amazon India |
| Amazon Great Indian Festival | 2026 opening | Over 100% more products ordered year over year in the first 12 hours; 440 million+ visits in the early phase; 72%+ of visits from beyond the top nine metros | Products ordered and visits | Amazon India |
| Flipkart Big Billion Days | 2026 opening hour | 6.3 million concurrent users in a minute; non-metro customers about 60% of demand | Peak simultaneous users | Business Standard |
| Flipkart Big Billion Days | 2026, 11 days from October 9 | Orders, units and buyers each up about 20% to 22%; unique visitors up nearly 10% | Orders, units and buyers | Business Standard |
These figures cannot crown a winner. Visits, concurrent users, products ordered, and buyers measure different things, and both companies chose what to publish. The more useful signal is that both reported growth led by smaller cities and first-time buyers.
How fast are deliveries during India's festive season?
No public source gives a verified, market-wide average festive delivery time for India. The clearest measures are company disclosures: Delhivery delivered 13.59 million packages within 24 hours in October 2025 (NSE filing), and Amazon's same-day Prime deliveries rose 60% during its 2025 festival (Amazon India).
| Operator or dataset | Period | Volume | Speed metric | What it covers | Source |
| ClickPost network | Festive 2025 vs festive 2024 | From 42.5M+ shipments analyzed, Sep to Oct of 2024 and 2025 | Same-day hyperlocal deliveries rose from 6.1% to 8.7% of orders (a 42% rise in share) | Share of orders | ClickPost Diwali Report 2025 |
| Delhivery | September 2025 | 104.4M shipments | 17.5M packages delivered within 24 hours; 36.6M within 48 hours | E-commerce and freight shipments processed | NSE filing |
| Delhivery | October 2025 | 107.4M shipments; 7.2M on peak day | 13.59M packages delivered within 24 hours; 29.57M within 48 hours | E-commerce and freight shipments processed | NSE filing |
| Amazon India | Great Indian Festival 2025 | 4 crore+ same-day and next-day products | Metro same/next-day deliveries +29%; Tier 2 and 3 two-day deliveries +37% | Prime member deliveries | Amazon India |
| Unicommerce logistics data | 25-day festive period, 2025 | Not stated | Average shipping time 15% shorter than 2024 | Its own logistics platform | Unicommerce release |
Delhivery's 24-hour and 48-hour counts are subsets of packages delivered, while its monthly totals count all e-commerce and freight shipments processed, so you can't turn them into a percentage delivered within a day. Its filings also cite the fastest single delivery (2 minutes in Bengaluru in October 2025) without describing the service type, making it an outlier rather than a service level.
How to use these delivery figures
None of these figures is a delivery-time benchmark for an individual brand. Delhivery and Amazon report counts and growth rates for their own networks, and our same-day figure describes the brands that ship through us. A more useful comparison is your festive delivery time by lane, carrier, and product type against the same shipments in a normal month, and against comparable brands shipping to a similar destination mix.
How operators are staffing for 2026
Amazon hired 160,000 seasonal associates for the 2026 festive period, and nearly 75,000 people were joining Flipkart's workforce for the season, according to Business Standard.
Are D2C brand websites outgrowing marketplaces during Diwali?
On Unicommerce's platform, yes, in 2025. Its analysis of 150 million+ transactions over a 25-day festive period found brand-website order volumes up 33% against 8% for marketplaces, while marketplaces still handled 38% of purchases (Unicommerce release). These are order-volume figures for Uniware clients, not GMV or market-wide results.
| Metric | Brand websites (D2C) | Marketplaces | Population | Source |
| Order volume growth, 25-day festive period 2025 | 0.33 | 0.08 | Orders on Unicommerce's Uniware platform | Unicommerce |
| Share of festive purchases, 2025 | Not stated | 38% | Same | Unicommerce |
| Order volume growth, first festive week 2026 (October 7 to 13) vs first week 2025 (September 22 to 28) | December 1899 | 0.26 | 33 million+ order items on Uniware | Unicommerce via Business Standard |
| D2C order growth, October 7 to 20, 2025 | +46.81% (GMV +46.44%) | Not covered | D2C brands on GoKwik's network | GoKwik release |
| D2C shipment growth, 2026 sale opener | +31.4% (median brand about +19%) | Not covered | Fixed cohort of 200 D2C brands on ClickPost | ClickPost via BW Retail World |
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Growth rates from any enabler's network can also reflect changes in the brands it serves, so GoKwik's and our own figures describe those networks rather than D2C as a whole.
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In our 200-brand cohort, the 2026 comparison window included a full weekend while the 2025 window was mid-week, which may have lifted the growth rate. More than one-fifth of these brands saw shipments fall by over 25%.
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Beauty and personal care accounted for 31.29% of D2C GMV on GoKwik's network in Diwali 2025, followed by fashion and apparel at 23.80%.
GoKwik founder Chirag Taneja described the shift toward digital payments, saying, "convenience and trust are the new currencies of commerce."
Taken together, the data shows strong growth among D2C brands on these platforms, not a settled verdict that D2C is outrunning marketplaces. Unicommerce's own 2026 first-week figures show the two channels growing at almost the same rate, and our own cohort shows how widely individual brands diverge.
What was the COD RTO rate during India's festive season?
No verified, market-wide festive COD RTO rate has been published. The most commonly cited figure comes from the public summary of Unicommerce's India D2C Report 2026, which says 58% of COD orders came back during the festive quarter, compared with under 15% of prepaid orders. The summary does not say whether this counts failed deliveries (RTO), customer returns, or both.
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Unicommerce describes the report as built on FY2026 data from 410 million+ shipments across 6,000+ D2C brands on its platforms. The public page labels the 58% figure as covering the festive season, the festive quarter, and the festive peak in different places, and does not state the denominator. The full report is gated behind a form.
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Unicommerce also reports RTO falling from about 39% in November 2025 to about 21% by early 2026. Its public materials describe this variously as one brand's result, a group of optimized brands, and platform-level data, so it should not be read as an industry benchmark or as proof that specific operational changes caused the decline.
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Prepaid's share of D2C orders on GoKwik's network rose from 37.44% in Diwali 2024 to 52.42% in Diwali 2025 (GoKwik).
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In our 2026 D2C cohort, prepaid shipments grew 47% against 27% for COD, taking prepaid to 52% of shipments from 46%. Median basket values were ₹1,044 (about $11) for prepaid and ₹870 (about $9) for COD.
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Unicommerce reported COD orders up 22% in volume and 35% in GMV during the 2025 festive period, suggesting larger COD baskets on its platform.
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In our 2025 festive data, COD made up 52% of orders from Tier 3 cities (ClickPost Diwali Report 2025).
Across these datasets, prepaid is gaining share, and the limited public data points to higher return risk on COD orders. None of it gives a brand its own break-even point. Moving COD buyers to prepaid usually needs an incentive or confirmation step that costs money, and tighter COD rules can lose buyers in cities where cash is still preferred. The useful exercise is to compare your own cost per failed COD delivery, including forward and return freight and handling, with the cost of the incentive and any lost conversion.
How much do Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities contribute to festive ecommerce in India?
Redseer found that 60% to 65% of shoppers in the first 11 days of the 2025 festive sale came from Tier 2+ cities (Redseer). Our published 2025 festive report shows orders growing 23.1% in Tier 2 and 21.0% in Tier 3 cities, against 12.8% in Tier 1 (ClickPost Diwali Report 2025).
| Dataset and period | Metric | Tier 1 / metro | Tier 2 | Tier 3+ |
| ClickPost, festive 2025 vs 2024 | Order growth | 0.128 | 0.231 | 0.21 |
| Unicommerce, festive 2025 | Order growth | 24% | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Unicommerce, festive 2025 | Share of orders | Not stated | Over 55% for Tier 2 and Tier 3 combined | (combined) |
| Unicommerce, first festive week 2026 | Share of orders | Not stated | Not stated | 42% |
| GoKwik, Diwali 2025 | D2C average order value growth | 0.113 | 0.153 | 0.0997 |
| ClickPost D2C cohort, 2026 opener | Share of shipments | Not stated | 22% | 45% |
| ClickPost D2C cohort, 2026 opener | Shipment growth | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.34 |
Each row reflects one platform's clients, and the platforms define city tiers in their own ways, so the figures should not be added or averaged across rows.
Our early 2026 cohort data adds a caution. Among those D2C brands, Tier 1 shipments grew fastest (37%), ahead of Tier 3 (34%) and Tier 2 (27%). Smaller cities still hold the largest share, but their growth lead isn't guaranteed in every dataset or year.
How big is quick commerce during India's festive season?
Redseer projects quick-commerce festive sales to grow 110% to 120% in 2026, lifting its share of festive online retail from about 11% to about 18% (Indian Television, citing Redseer). Google and Redseer's quick-commerce report gives a similar projection (YourStory). Datum Intelligence's estimate is lower, at about 16% of festive sales, up from 12% in 2025 (Business Standard).
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Redseer projects the rest of ecommerce to grow 16% to 18% in the same festive window. All of these are forecasts.
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In the first 11 days of 2025, Redseer saw quick commerce keep its usual growth rate of more than 120% without a festive-specific spike, as shoppers bought large-ticket items through traditional ecommerce.
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On Unicommerce's platform, quick-commerce order volumes rose 120% in the 2025 festive period and 85% in the first week of 2026. These are platform order counts, not market GMV.
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During the 2026 opening days, Redseer said Amazon- and Flipkart-run quick-commerce services recorded four to five times their usual daily GMV (YourStory, citing Redseer via PTI).
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A Bank of America report using Sensor Tower data found little festive lift in daily usage of standalone quick-commerce apps: in the first six days of the 2026 sale, Blinkit's average daily active users rose 3% over September and Zepto's fell 2% (Business Standard).
The usage data and the growth forecasts can both be right. Quick commerce is growing fast all year, and the festive season adds a larger share of spending, especially through marketplace-run quick services, without necessarily spiking app usage.
When do Indians shop online for Diwali?
Demand builds well before Diwali day. GoKwik's busiest D2C day in 2025 came eight days before Diwali, compared with Diwali day itself in 2024 (GoKwik). Criteo's analysis of more than 50 Indian retailers found online retail sales up 14% year over year in the two weeks before Diwali 2024.
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Criteo found 2024 Indian retailer sales jumped 44% on September 26 against an early-September baseline, more than a month before Diwali.
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In Criteo's Indian retailer data, CPMs peaked 30% above the September 5 to 18, 2024 baseline on October 20, and CPCs averaged 29% above baseline in October before reaching 33% in the final week.
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Criteo's path-to-purchase figure (an average of 15 days from first product view to purchase during the October 25 to 31, 2024 peak week, with the slowest quartile taking more than six weeks) comes from global retailer transactions by new buyers, not from India alone.
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Redseer estimated about ₹24,000 crore (over $2.5 billion) of e-commerce GMV in the first two days of the 2026 sale, with around 14 times the usual daily number of orders (Business Standard).
For marketers, these patterns support starting campaigns early and planning for rising ad costs in the final fortnight. They do not prove that shifting budget earlier will raise sales for a given brand; that is worth testing against your own conversion data.
What is India's festive e-commerce outlook for 2026?
Redseer projects India's 2026 festive ecommerce GMV to grow about 25% to $15 billion to $16 billion over the 30 to 35 days before Diwali, its strongest festive growth in about five years, across 180 million to 185 million online shoppers (Redseer). Datum Intelligence projects ₹1.50 lakh crore to ₹1.55 lakh crore, up 25% to 29%.
Every figure in this table is a projection made before or early in the season.
| 2026 projection | Figure | Source |
| Festive ecommerce GMV | $15B to $16B, about 25% growth (IBEF's summary gives ₹1.40 to ₹1.49 lakh crore) | Redseer; IBEF |
| Festive online shoppers | 180 million to 185 million, up from 160 million in 2025 | Redseer, via Indian Television |
| Festive online sales | ₹1.50 to ₹1.55 lakh crore, up 25% to 29% (about $15.8B to $16.3B at ₹94.93) | Datum Intelligence via Business Standard |
| Mobiles' share of festive online retail | 29%, down from 33% in 2025 | Redseer, via Business Today |
| Electronics' share of festive online retail | 17%, down from 18% in 2025 | Redseer, via Business Today |
| Grocery festive sales growth (a growth rate, not a share) | 48% to 50% (Redseer); 41% (Datum) | Business Today; Business Standard |
| Quick-commerce share of festive spending | About 18% (Redseer; Google and Redseer); about 16% (Datum) | Indian Television; Business Standard |
Business Standard reports Datum's upper figure as $17.6 billion, which implies an exchange rate of about ₹88 per dollar; at ₹94.93, the range converts to about $15.8 billion to $16.3 billion. Redseer and Datum define and time the season differently, so neither forecast should be used to confirm the other.
Category growth: 2025 compared with Redseer's 2026 projection
| Category | 2025 festive growth (Redseer) | 2026 projected festive growth (Redseer) |
| Grocery | 33% | 48% to 50% |
| Beauty and personal care | 29% | 35% to 40% |
| Home and furniture | 18% | 32% to 35% |
| Fashion | 17% | 20% to 22% |
| Electronics | 19% | 15% to 17% |
| Mobiles | 5% | 5% to 7% |
Source: Redseer's India Online Retail 2026 report, as published by Business Today. These are year-over-year growth rates, not category shares. The 2025 fashion figure covers the full festive window, which is why it differs from the low single-digit growth Redseer measured in the first 11 days.
Redseer partner Kushal Bhatnagar summed up the year: "This year, India's online retail is growing fastest where demand is steadiest."
What the first weeks of the 2026 sale show
| Early reading | Figure | Window and coverage | Source |
| Ecommerce GMV | About ₹24,000 crore (over $2.5B); 60 million to 65 million shoppers | First two days of sales; platforms including Amazon, Flipkart, Meesho and Ajio | Redseer via Business Standard |
| Online marketplace GMV | ₹29,800 to ₹30,900 crore, down 7% to 10% from ₹33,200 crore | First four days of the 2026 festive sale season vs the same period of 2025; online marketplaces | Datum Intelligence via Business Today |
| Orders and GMV on Uniware | Orders +31%, GMV +17%, average order value down 10% | October 7 to 13, 2026 vs September 22 to 28, 2025 | Unicommerce via Business Standard |
| Flipkart Big Billion Days | Orders, units and buyers up about 20% to 22% | 11-day sale from October 9, 2026 | Business Standard |
| ClickPost D2C cohort | Shipments up 31.4%, from 3.12M to 4.10M | October 9 to 13, 2026 vs September 23 to 27, 2025; 200 brands with 500+ forward orders in both windows; 2026 window included a full weekend | BW Retail World |
These readings use different windows, platforms, and measures, so they don't contradict each other as directly as the headlines suggest. Datum compared against a 2025 opening that coincided with the September 2025 GST cut, while the platform data points to more orders at lower values. None of them establishes how the full season will end; that will depend on the weeks before November 8 and on season-end reports from Redseer, Datum and CAIT.
Festive ecommerce trends shaping India's 2026 season
Everyday categories are taking share from phones
Over the full year, Redseer projects grocery's share of India's online retail GMV to rise from about 16% in 2025 to about 19% in 2026, with grocery sales growing 50% to 53%, while mobiles slip from about 19% to about 16% (BW Retail World). For logistics teams, a basket tilted toward grocery and beauty means more, smaller orders and tighter delivery windows, which favors dense local fulfillment over long-haul parcel lanes.
Prepaid has passed half of D2C volume on two networks
Prepaid reached 52.42% of D2C orders on GoKwik's network in Diwali 2025 and 52% of shipments in our 2026 D2C cohort. Two independent samples landing on similar numbers makes the shift credible for brands on these platforms, though COD still dominates in Tier 3 cities.
First-time and Gen Z shoppers are prominent in the opening days
Redseer said first-time shoppers in the first two days of 2026 sales doubled year over year and that Gen Z made up about a third of opening-day shoppers. Flipkart reported that nearly half of its Big Billion Days 2026 buyers were Gen Z, and Amazon said first-time shoppers nearly doubled at its 2026 opening. New buyers judge a brand on delivery, tracking, and returns, so post-purchase experience affects whether they buy again after Diwali.
Regional festivals create their own spikes
In our 2025 data, fashion orders in Kolkata rose 14.3% in the week before Durga Puja, and Delhi shoppers bought nearly two cosmetic products for every fashion item around Karwa Chauth (ClickPost Diwali Report 2025). In 2026, GoKwik reported a 64% year-over-year sales increase on its network in the six days before Karwa Chauth (GoKwik release).
Diwali 2026 logistics readiness checklist for ecommerce and D2C brands
With Dhanteras on November 6 and Diwali on November 8, most inventory decisions are already locked. These steps cover the final stretch and the returns window that follows.
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Publish zone-wise cut-off dates. Work back from November 8 using your slowest recorded transit time per lane plus a buffer, and show the last order date on product pages.
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Benchmark delivery promises against your own history. Compare festive transit times by lane, carrier, and product type with your normal-month performance and with comparable brands, then tighten promises where festive delays are largest.
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Calculate the cost of a failed COD order. Add forward and return freight and handling, compare it with the cost of a prepaid incentive and any lost conversion, and set COD rules by PIN code rather than across the board.
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Confirm high-risk COD orders before dispatch. Call or message confirmations in PIN codes with a history of RTO to reduce wasted shipments without removing COD for everyone.
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Keep a second carrier ready in every major zone. A single-carrier lane has no fallback if a hub congests during the final pre-Diwali days.
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Plan ad spend around rising costs. In Criteo's 2024 Indian retailer data, CPCs in the final pre-Diwali week ran 33% above the early-September baseline.
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Send proactive delivery updates. Clear tracking and delay notifications reduce WISMO (where is my order) queries when transit times stretch.
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Staff returns and RTO processing for November. Reverse volumes arrive after the peak, so warehouse and finance capacity for returns matters as much after Diwali as before it.
Master table of festive season sales statistics for India
| Statistic | Figure | Type | Source | Published |
| Total Diwali trade, 2025 | ₹6.05 lakh crore | Survey-based estimate | CAIT | Oct 2025 |
| Goods / services split, 2025 | ₹5.40 lakh crore / ₹65,000 crore | Survey-based estimate | CAIT | Oct 2025 |
| Festive vehicle retail, 42 days, 2025 | 52.38 lakh units (+21.1%) | Actual (registrations) | FADA | Nov 2025 |
| UPI transactions, October 2025 (all payments) | 20.7 billion; ₹27.28 lakh crore | Actual | NPCI via Business Standard | Nov 2025 |
| Festive ecommerce GMV, 2025 | ₹1.15 lakh crore+ (20% to 25% growth expected) | Pre-season forecast | Redseer | Aug 2025 |
| Festive online retail growth, 2025 | 16% | Estimate (reported in 2026) | Redseer | Sep 2026 |
| First 11 days GMV, 2025 | ₹60,000 to ₹62,000 crore (+20% to 22%) | Tracked estimate | Redseer | Oct 2025 |
| Festive online sales base, 2025 | About ₹1.20 lakh crore | Estimate | Datum Intelligence | Oct 2026 |
| Order growth on Uniware, festive 2025 | +24% orders; +23% GMV | Platform data | Unicommerce | Oct 2025 |
| Brand sites vs marketplaces order growth, 2025 | +33% vs +8% | Platform data | Unicommerce | Oct 2025 |
| D2C order growth, Oct 7 to 20, 2025 | 0.4681 | Platform data | GoKwik | Oct 2025 |
| D2C prepaid share, Diwali 2025 | 52.42% (from 37.44%) | Platform data | GoKwik | Oct 2025 |
| Order growth by tier, festive 2025 | Tier 1 +12.8%; Tier 2 +23.1%; Tier 3 +21.0% | Platform data | ClickPost | Oct 2025 |
| Delhivery packages delivered within 24 hours, Oct 2025 | 13.59 million | Company disclosure | Delhivery (NSE filing) | Nov 2025 |
| Amazon same-day Prime deliveries, GIF 2025 | 1.4 crore (+60%) | Company disclosure | Amazon India | Oct 2025 |
| COD vs prepaid orders that came back, festive quarter | 58% vs under 15% (RTO and returns not separated) | Platform data (public summary; full report gated) | Unicommerce | Apr 2026 |
| Amazon seasonal associates, 2026 | 160,000 | Company figure, via press | Business Standard | Oct 2026 |
| Festive ecommerce GMV, 2026 | $15B to $16B (about +25%) | Projection | Redseer | Sep 2026 |
| Festive online sales, 2026 | ₹1.50 to ₹1.55 lakh crore | Projection | Datum Intelligence | Oct 2026 |
| Quick-commerce share of festive spending, 2026 | About 18% | Projection | Redseer; Google and Redseer | Sep to Oct 2026 |
| GMV in the first two days of the 2026 sale | About ₹24,000 crore | Early-sale estimate | Redseer | Oct 2026 |
| Marketplace GMV, first four days of 2026 sale | Down 7% to 10% | Early-sale estimate | Datum Intelligence | Oct 2026 |
| D2C shipment growth, 2026 opener | 0.314 | Platform data | ClickPost | Oct 2026 |
Conclusion
India's festive numbers are large, but they are not interchangeable. CAIT's ₹6.05 lakh crore covers the full festive economy, Redseer and Datum model the online slice differently, and platform datasets, including our own, describe each platform's users. Read together, they point to a season led by smaller cities, first-time buyers, everyday categories, and a growing share of prepaid orders, with value growth in 2026 still uncertain.
For brands, the practical takeaway is to use these figures as context and make decisions based on their own data: festive delivery times by lane, the true cost of a failed COD order, and their own demand timing.
FAQs on festive season sales statistics in India
How much does India spend during the festive season?
₹6.05 lakh crore, about $64 billion, is CAIT's survey-based estimate of total Diwali 2025 trade, including ₹5.40 lakh crore in goods and ₹65,000 crore in services. It covers offline and online retail. Online festive sales were estimated separately at roughly ₹1.15 lakh crore to ₹1.20 lakh crore, using different methods and windows.
How much is India's festive e-commerce market worth in 2026?
$15 billion to $16 billion is Redseer's projection for 2026 festive e-commerce GMV, about 25% growth. Datum Intelligence projects ₹1.50 lakh crore to ₹1.55 lakh crore. Both are forecasts made before Diwali on November 8, 2026, and season-end estimates have not yet been published.
How many people shop online during Diwali?
About 90 million people shopped online in the first 11 days of the 2025 festive sale, according to Redseer, which counts about 160 million festive online shoppers for 2025 and projects 180 million to 185 million in 2026. It estimated 60 million to 65 million shoppers in the first two days of the 2026 sale.
Which is India's biggest festive sale, Big Billion Days or Great Indian Festival?
No verified ranking exists because neither company publishes festive GMV. Amazon reported 2.76 billion customer visits for its 2025 Great Indian Festival, and Flipkart reported 20% to 22% growth in orders, units, and buyers for Big Billion Days 2026. These measure different things.
What are the most popular product categories during India's festive season?
60% to 65% of first-leg 2025 festive GMV came from smartphones and appliances, according to Redseer. For 2026, Redseer projects mobiles' share of festive online retail to fall from 33% to 29%, while grocery's festive sales grow 48% to 50% year over year. On GoKwik's D2C network, beauty and personal care led 2025 GMV.
How much do Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities contribute to festive ecommerce in India?
According to Redseer, 60% to 65% of shoppers in the first 11 days of the 2025 festive sale came from Tier 2+ cities. Unicommerce puts Tier 2 and Tier 3 at over 55% of orders on its platform, and ClickPost's 2025 report shows Tier 2 and Tier 3 orders growing faster than Tier 1. Each figure reflects a different sample.
How fast are deliveries during India's festive season?
No verified market-wide average festive delivery time has been published. In October 2025, Delhivery delivered 13.59 million packages within 24 hours; Amazon's same-day Prime deliveries grew 60% during its 2025 festival; and same-day hyperlocal deliveries rose from 6.1% to 8.7% of orders in ClickPost's 2025 report.
What is India's festive ecommerce outlook for 2026?
Redseer projects about 25% growth in festive ecommerce in 2026, led by grocery and beauty, while mobiles grow 5% to 7%. Early readings are mixed: Redseer estimated ₹24,000 crore in the first two days, while Datum Intelligence reported a 7% to 10% decline in marketplace GMV over the first four days.
What was the COD RTO rate during India's festive season?
No verified market-wide festive COD RTO rate has been published. Unicommerce's India D2C Report 2026 summary says 58% of COD orders came back during the festive quarter, against under 15% of prepaid orders, on its platforms. The summary does not separate RTO from customer returns, so the figure is not a pure RTO rate.
When is Diwali 2026?
Diwali is November 8, 2026, 19 days later than October 20 in 2025, with Dhanteras on November 6. The later date pushed the major online sales into early October and leaves less than three weeks between Diwali and Black Friday on November 27.