Ecommerce Share of Retail Sales: Growth Trends, Data & Forecasts (2026)
10 Nov, 2025
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TL/DR summary
The fastest-growing eCommerce markets today cluster in Southeast Asia and parts of Latin America, while large markets like China and the U.S. keep the volume. Phones, wallets, and social discovery power growth.
Key pointers:
Pick markets where size meets speed, localize payments and UX, and grow with the tide of global ecommerce.
The phrase ‘fastest-growing eCommerce markets’ is not a mere headline; it is a planning input. As global ecommerce sales expand, shifts in the ecommerce market are driven by demographics, internet users, payments, and phones. For enterprises, knowing which ecommerce markets are accelerating helps set channel budgets, warehouse placement, and localization priorities.
This article scans the global landscape, lists growth pockets, and explains how ecommerce brands can align roadmaps with the data.
Southeast Asia and parts of Latin America post double‑digit growth. They are the true fastest-growing ecommerce pockets.
Mobile devices and digital wallets are the default in many markets; checkout must reflect that.
The U.S. and China remain among the biggest ecommerce markets, but emerging economies deliver the highest growth rate.
South Korea remains a mature market with deep ecommerce penetration and a very high mobile commerce share.
Treat payment preferences as infrastructure; they drive sales alongside assortment and pricing.
The e-commerce opportunity is constantly evolving.
In 2025, eCommerce sales are projected at $6.42 Tn, rising to $7.89 Tn by 2028.
In 2026, online transaction revenue is estimated at $6.88T (+7.2% YoY).
By 2028, ecommerce will account for 22.5% of total retail sales (up from 21.1% in 2026).
The seven key markets will exceed $100B in online retail sales, and more than half of internet users globally buy online.
This arc sets the base for identifying the fastest-growing ecommerce markets and the regions where ecommerce penetration is still climbing.
Growth rates signal where to expand first. According to research data, the countries with the steepest increases in retail ecommerce sales are listed below.
| Country | Expected Growth Rate | Implication |
| Philippines | 23% |
Highest growth momentum; strong early-expansion opportunity
|
| Thailand | 20% |
Rapid ecommerce adoption; invest in localized logistics
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| Malaysia | 15.50% |
Rising digital shoppers; stable regulatory environment
|
| Ecuador | 14.60% |
Emerging LATAM market with rising online penetration
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| Uruguay | 14.40% |
Fast-growing ecommerce infrastructure; growing cross-border demand
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These markets are mobile‑first, price-sensitive, and social‑led. Mobile commerce and social commerce behaviors shorten discovery cycles. Local wallets are crucial; card rails are present, but digital wallets convert better at checkout.
High growth is one side of the story; scale is the other. Some ecommerce markets may have slowed their year-on-year expansion, yet they continue to shape global trade through their sheer size, maturity, and influence on cross-border patterns.
The following countries together represent the world’s largest online economies, each at a different stage of its growth curve. However, data suggests that these markets still have strong potential for new entrants and investors.
| Category | Data / Insight | What It Means |
| Total Ecommerce Market Value | ~$3.45 trillion |
Largest ecommerce economy globally
|
| Share of Retail Sales from Ecommerce | 47% |
Nearly half of all retail purchases occur online
|
| Number of Digital Buyers | 915 million |
Highest online shopper base in the world
|
| Mobile Commerce Share | 64% of ecommerce transactions happen on mobile |
Mobile-first shopping behavior dominates
|
| Top Payment Method | 59% of payments via digital wallets |
Strong influence of WeChat Pay, Alipay
|
| Social Commerce Integration | WeChat, Douyin drive seamless commerce + content flows |
China leads in blending social media + ecommerce
|
| Ecommerce Ecosystem Strength | Highly digitized, large mobile penetration |
Sets global standards for innovation and scale
|
China continues to dominate the global ecommerce market, valued at roughly $3.45 trillion, and accounts for nearly half (47.3%) of all retail sales in the country. With 915 million digital buyers, China is not only the biggest but also one of the most digitized online economies in the world.
Around 64% of ecommerce transactions take place on mobile devices. These are powered by the convenience of digital wallets, which handle 59% of payments. Its social commerce ecosystem, integrated with apps like WeChat and Douyin, sets the benchmark for the rest of the world in fusing content with commerce.
| Category | Details |
| Market Size |
$1.38 trillion (2023), projected to reach $1.88 trillion by 2029.
|
| Ecommerce Share |
15.9% of total retail sales in the U.S.
|
| Payment Methods |
50% of online transactions via credit/debit cards; 26% via digital wallets.
|
| Mobile Sales Share |
45% of online sales originate from mobile phones.
|
| Market Characteristics |
Mature, diversified, omnichannel environment with strong reliance on cards and rapid growth in digital wallets.
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| Growth Opportunities |
Ideal for experimentation with personalization, AI-driven recommendations, and subscription models.
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The U.S. is the second-largest ecommerce market, estimated at $1.38 trillion, with projections reaching $1.88 trillion by 2029. Online retail contributes 15.9% of total retail sales, reflecting a highly diversified, omnichannel environment. Consumers here still rely heavily on cards, which account for over half of online transactions, but digital wallets are rapidly gaining traction at 26%. Roughly 45% of online sales originate from mobile phones.
For brands, the U.S. remains a mature yet innovation-friendly environment. It is ideal for experimenting with personalization, AI-driven recommendations, and subscription-based models.
| Category | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Value (UK) | $195.7 billion |
| Ecommerce Share of Retail Sales |
27.9% (among the highest globally)
|
| Number of Online Shoppers | Over 57 million |
| Cross-Border Shopping |
25% of all online purchases
|
| Mobile Commerce |
Strong mobile commerce growth
|
| Payment Preferences |
52% use cards; 28% use digital wallets
|
| Market Characteristics |
Stable, regulation-friendly, with access to a broad European consumer base
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The UK’s ecommerce industry is valued at $195.7 billion, accounting for 27.9% of retail sales, among the highest globally. With over 57 million online shoppers, British consumers are digitally fluent and comfortable with cross-border shopping, which makes up a quarter (25%) of all online purchases. Mobile commerce is strong, and payment preferences lean toward cards (52%) and digital wallets (28%).
For businesses, the UK offers a stable, regulation-friendly market with access to a broad European consumer base.
| Metric | Data |
| Market Size (2023) | $169.4 billion |
| Projected Market Size (2029) | $263.4 billion |
| CAGR (2023–2029) | 9.23% |
| Online Shoppers | 94 million |
| Digital Payment Trust |
High trust in digital payments and logistics systems
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| Card Payment Share |
68% of online payments
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| Mobile Commerce Share |
34% of total ecommerce sales
|
| Cultural Influence |
Values of quality, precision, and reliability shape growth
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Japan’s ecommerce market sits at $169.4 billion and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.23%, reaching $263.4 billion by 2029. With 94 million online shoppers, the country shows high trust in digital payments and logistics systems. Cards account for 68% of online payments, while mobile commerce makes up 34% of sales.
Japan’s growth is shaped by a culture that values quality, precision, and reliability. These are key traits that global sellers must match to succeed.
| Category | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Size | $147 billion |
| Ecommerce Penetration | 18% |
| Mobile Transactions |
Nearly 70% of transactions occur on mobile phones
|
| Shopping Behavior |
Shoppers use multiple shopping apps simultaneously
|
| Payment Methods |
Card-based payments dominate
|
| Technological Advancements |
Testing ground for augmented reality shopping, same-day delivery, etc.
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| Digital Infrastructure |
Sophisticated infrastructure and dense urban population
|
South Korea is a digital powerhouse with an ecommerce market size of $147 billion and an impressive 18% ecommerce penetration. Nearly 70% of transactions occur on mobile phones, making it one of the most mobile-first markets in the world. Shoppers here use multiple shopping apps simultaneously, and card-based payments dominate.
The country’s sophisticated digital infrastructure and dense urban population make it a testing ground for next-gen technologies such as augmented reality shopping and same-day delivery.
| Aspect | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Value | $141.2 billion |
| Share of Retail Sales | 11% |
| Market Characteristics |
Trusted and price-conscious online ecosystem
|
| Consumer Preferences |
Transparent pricing, dependable shipping, and flexible payment options
|
| Payment Methods |
- Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL): 30% - Digital Wallets: 27%
|
| Market Strengths |
Balanced innovation and prudence, maintaining strong online retail economy in Europe
|
Germany’s ecommerce market, valued at $141.2 billion, makes up 11.2% of retail sales. It is one of Europe’s most trusted and price-conscious online ecosystems. German consumers favor transparent pricing, dependable shipping, and flexible payment options. Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services lead with 30% of all payments, followed by digital wallets (27%).
This balance of prudence and innovation continues to keep Germany among Europe’s strongest online retail economies.
| Metric | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Size (India) | $116 billion |
| Ecommerce Share of Retail | 5% |
| Mobile Commerce Share |
80% of all online orders
|
| Digital Wallet Adoption | 46% |
| Cash-on-Delivery (COD) Adoption | 13% |
| Number of Online Shoppers | Over 250 million |
| Rural Digitalization |
Fast-growing, with increasing internet and mobile usage in rural areas
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| Key Growth Drivers |
Affordability + Technological Innovation
|
| Position in Global Ecommerce |
7th largest ecommerce market globally
|
India is now the world’s seventh-largest ecommerce market, valued at $116 billion, yet online sales account for only 5% of total retail. That leaves immense room for growth. Mobile commerce drives 80% of all online orders, supported by widespread adoption of digital wallets (46%) and convenient cash-on-delivery options (13%).
With over 250 million online shoppers and a fast-digitizing rural population, India is an emerging giant that blends affordability with technological innovation.
| Metric | Value | Insight |
| Ecommerce Market Size | $62 billion |
Represents 5.4% of total retail sales in Indonesia
|
| Growth Status | Fastest-growing in Southeast Asia |
Driven by a young population and high smartphone usage
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| Mobile Commerce Share | 64% of total mobile transactions |
Indicates strong mobile shopping adoption
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| App Usage Share | 78% of mobile transactions |
Reflects a shift towards app-based shopping
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| Payment Methods | Cards (32%), Bank Transfers (29%), Digital Wallets (17%) |
Payments are fragmented, showing a transition to digital payments
|
Indonesia’s ecommerce market stands at $62 billion, representing 5.4% of total retail sales. The country’s young population and high smartphone usage make it a clear fastest-growing ecommerce destination in Southeast Asia. Mobile commerce accounts for 64% of mobile transactions, and apps account for nearly 78%. Payments are fragmented: cards (32%), bank transfers (29%), and digital wallets (17%) each hold substantial shares. It reflects a market in rapid transition to digital payments.
| Aspect | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Value | $51 billion |
| Ecommerce Share of Retail |
10% of total retail sales
|
| Online Shopping Penetration |
70% of French consumers shop online
|
| Annual Spend per Consumer | $2,450 |
| Mobile Sales Share |
23% of total ecommerce transactions
|
| Payment Method |
78% of payments made via cards
|
| Social Commerce Influence |
Increasing, with platforms like Facebook, Instagram, and Snapchat impacting purchasing decisions
|
| Social Commerce Adoption |
France warming to integration of social commerce
|
France's ecommerce market is valued at $51 billion, representing 10% of retail sales. Seven in ten French consumers shop online, spending an average of $2,450 annually. Mobile sales account for 23% of transactions, and cards account for 78% of payments. Social platforms are playing an increasingly important role, with Facebook, Instagram, and Snapchat influencing purchasing decisions. It is a sign that France is warming to the integration of social commerce.
| Category | Details |
| Ecommerce Market Size | $40.3 billion |
| Ecommerce Share of Retail Sales | 13.60% |
| Key Consumer Preferences |
Loyalty driven by free shipping & strong customer service
|
| Top Market Categories |
Travel, Electronics, Fashion
|
| Most Common Payment Method |
Credit Cards (64%)
|
| Cross-Border Ecommerce |
62% of Canadian shoppers purchase from international sellers
|
Canada’s ecommerce market, at $40.3 billion, accounts for 13.6% of retail sales. Canadians are loyal to brands that provide free shipping and strong customer service. The market’s top categories include travel, electronics, and fashion, with credit cards (64%) being the most common payment method. Cross-border ecommerce is also vibrant. 62% of Canadian shoppers purchase from international sellers.
The country’s combination of affluence and digital readiness positions it as a high-value, low-risk environment for global expansion.
Speed comes from adoption mechanics.
Mobile devices are now the default across many regions; in South Korea and India, phones dominate. Plan UX and PDP weights for low‑bandwidth conditions.
Digital wallets are the trust layer in emerging ecommerce markets; in China, they have a 59% share, in India, 46%.
Social commerce platforms are meaningful in Southeast Asia; lean into creator‑led discovery.
Search engine visibility remains a core acquisition lever; local language SEO drives online shopper conversion.
Optimize the online shopping experience for wallets and phones first. It reduces cart friction and lifts ecommerce growth.
Growth often spills over borders. So, treat cross‑border as a modular add‑on; local returns and taxes unlock market share.
In the U.S., cross-border buying accounts for 33% of online shoppers but only 7% of total value. It has room to expand with compliant returns.
In Canada, 62% of shoppers also buy cross‑border; in the Asia Pacific region, dense trade lanes enable rapid scaling once duty and tax logic are in place.
|
Market |
Ecom market value |
Penetration/share |
Notable behaviors |
|
China |
$3.45 Tn |
47.3% of total retail sales |
Digital wallets 59%; mobile devices 64%; 915.1M buyers |
|
United States |
$1.38 Tn |
15.9% of retail sales |
Phones 45% of online sales; cards dominant; wallets 26% |
|
United Kingdom |
$195.7 Bn |
27.9% of retail |
25% online purchases cross‑border; wallets 28% |
|
Japan |
$169.4 Bn to $263.4 Bn (2029) |
compound annual growth rate 9.23% |
Cards 68%; mobile commerce 34% |
|
South Korea |
$147 Bn |
18% of retail |
mobile devices 70%; card‑led payments |
|
Germany |
$141.2 Bn |
11.2% of retail |
BNPL 30%; wallets 27% |
|
India |
$116 Bn |
5% of retail |
mobile commerce 80%; wallets 46%; COD 13% |
|
Indonesia |
$62 Bn |
5.4% of retail |
mobile commerce 64%; apps 78% of mobile |
|
France |
$51 Bn |
10% of retail |
Cards 78%; social buy on Facebook is common |
|
Canada |
$40.3 Bn |
13.6% of retail |
Cards 64%; free shipping influences repeat |
|
Fast‑growth set |
— |
— |
Philippines 23%; Thailand 20%; Malaysia 15.5%; Ecuador 14.6%; Uruguay 14.4% |
Markets with headroom and momentum are where ecommerce brands should test, learn, and scale. Pair country selection with payments that locals trust, lightweight pages for phones, and clear delivery promises. The ecommerce market is broad, but focus converts: enter a few of the fastest-growing ecommerce markets, speak the local language, align with wallets, and let product‑market fit compound your ecommerce growth.